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Peru:  Fujimori Triumphs Again (continued)
Economic Briefing June 2000  

Fujimori triumphs again.  On 28 May, Fujimori once again defeated the opposition and secured his third term as president in a highly disputed second round.  In fact, rather than winning the elections, Fujimori was handed the presidency without contest, since his opponent Alejandro Toledo Manrique decided to boycott the elections.

What has happened?  On 9 April the first round of presidential elections clearly established two frontrunners: incumbent president Alberto Fujimori (49.87%) supported by Perú 2000 and Alejandro Toledo from Perú Posible (40.24%).  Fujimori had been accused of abuses in his campaign, such as repressing media and misusing public funds, and international monitors questioned the 9 April election results.  Since neither candidate garnered 50% or more of the vote, a second round was set for 28 May, as stipulated by the constitution. 

Supported by six other first-round presidential candidates, Toledo initially looked well poised to win the second round.  However, with election date approaching, polls were not as favourable as expected.  In the meantime, negotiations between Perú Posible and Perú 2000 to secure more balanced electoral conditions and to guarantee a transparent electoral process were aborted.  As a consequence, Toledo announced his withdrawal from the run-off election if the poll date were not postponed by three weeks.  Despite significant international pressure -- international and most national election observers refused to monitor the election --Fujimori turned down any requests to postpone the elections, using constitutional requirements as his justification.  Toledo had originally appealed to Peruvians to boycott the runoff election.  However, since voting is compulsory, he later told voters instead to spoil ballots in protest.  Failure to vote is punishable by a US$ 33 fine, about one quarter of the monthly minimum wage.  According to the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE), Fujimori garnered 51.2% of total votes while Toledo united 17.7% despite his call for boycott.  Some 31.1% of the votes were either invalid or left blank.  Nevertheless, Toledo is unlikely to have garnered the victory.

Sanctions unlikely. The result met strong resistance from within Peru and from international observers.  The United States initially declared the election invalid but later softened its tone opting for a OAS-sponsored mission decided to send a mission to Peru to explore options for strengthening democracy.  Although the US has not excluded unilateral sanctions as a possible actions, these are unlikely to be ever implemented Washington would wait for the outcome of the mission.

 

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